It’s a helpful approach to lay out what you see coming from the heat bomb. It’s a chart to follow with data points that can be checked to determine if the worst case scenarios are being realized. Assuming the forecast of collapse goes as outlined the narrative around it is re-enforced. If the projected outcomes don’t happen then the model used for prediction needs to be deconstructed and analyzed for tweaking. In my opinion your analysis is rational and fact-based. Our challenges are daunting. I don’t know how things will sort out, but the journey has started. Thank you for your writing and advice.